The Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies kick off Wednesday’s slate of games with an afternoon matchup.
Wednesday’s afternoon contest between the Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies has all the makings to be a thriller as they are set to face off against a pair of underwhelming pitchers who struggle with avoiding contact. This may lead to plenty of scoring opportunities and extended pitch counts, potentially resulting in an early exit for one of the pitchers.
With fifteen games taking place on Wednesday, there are plenty of prop bets and markets to wager on which you can read a detailed breakdown of them below.
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Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies (1:05pm, EST)
Ben Brown Under 15.5 Outs: (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook
It has been a rough start to the year for Ben Brown as the Chicago Cubs pitcher is currently averaging an ERA of 5.37 and a WHIP of 1.429. While he does generate Strikeouts at a high rate, Brown is also averaging over one Hit Against per Inning Pitched. Even when backed behind a productive defense, his inability to avoid contact brings in a high amount of variance into his outings.
In a highly anticipated contest against Philadelphia, expect Brown to continue to struggle as he faces off against a Phillies offense who ranks near the top of the board in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. Should the total on Ben Brown’s Outs prop drop down to 14.5, then pass on this wager.
Chicago Cubs First Five Innings Team Total Over 2: (-165) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Correlating this prop with the previously mentioned one, Hancock’s struggles on the mound may lead to an early exit. Especially with the Diamondbacks excelling at extending pitch counts which increases Hancock’s chances of getting pulled early. Should the total on his Outs prop drop down to 14.5 across the board before you are able to place a bet, then pass on this wager.
Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles (6:35pm, EST)
Casey Mize Under 2.5 Earned Runs: (-155) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Casey Mize has played a pivotal role in the Detroit Tigers hot start to their season as he is currently averaging an ERA of 2.91 and less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched. His back end also excels in coverage which helps reduce the amount of contact variance in his starts as the Tigers defense ranks fourth overall in Defensive Efficiency and third in Fielding Percentage.
Against Baltimore, Mize will have a great opportunity to string together a dominant performance as he faces off against an Orioles offense who ranks near dead last in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage. Their struggles with generating Hits hurts their ability to get into scoring position which increases Mize’s chances of cashing the under on his Earned Runs prop.
Riley Greene Over 1.5 Total Bases: (+105) at FanDuel Sportsbook
While Mize has managed to play at a high level, Baltimore’s Zach Eflin has struggled as he enters the contest averaging an ERA of 4.47 and a FIP of 5.06. His lack of command bodes well for Riley Greene as the Tigers star batter excels at consistently making contact. As of writing, Greene is averaging over one Hit per game, a Batting Average of 0.280, and an OPS of 0.824.
San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies (8:40pm, EST)
Robbie Ray Over 17.5 Outs: (-175) at BetMGM Sportsbook
The Colorado Rockies offense have been historically bad this season as they rank dead last in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. Even amidst their struggles, the Rockies are still aggressive with their at-bats as they also rank third overall in Strikeout Rate and 27th in Bases on Walks.
Unfortunately for the Rockies, their struggles on offense are poised to persist as they face off against Robbie Ray who takes the mound averaging an ERA of 2.44, a WHIP of 1.073, a FIP of 3.03, and nearly seven Strikeouts per game. Should Ray continue to excel at avoiding contact while creating Whiffs at a high rate, then expect the Giants pitcher to go the full length of his start and cash this prop.
About the author
Kody Malstrom
Kody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.
Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.
When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.
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